Thursday, June 9, 2011

BLS: Job Openings decline in April

From the BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary
The number of job openings in April was 3.0 million, little changed from 3.1 million in March. After increasing in February, job openings have been flat. Job openings have been around 3.0 million for three consecutive months; the last three-month period with levels this high was September?November 2008. The number of job openings was 549,000 higher than at the end of the recession in June 2009 (as designated by the National Bureau of Economic Research) but remains well below the 4.4 million openings when the recession began in December 2007.
The following graph shows job openings (yellow line), hires (purple), Layoff, Discharges and other (red column), and Quits (light blue column) from the JOLTS.

Unfortunately this is a new series and only started in December 2000.

Note: The difference between JOLTS hires and separations is similar to the CES (payroll survey) net jobs headline numbers. This report is for April, the most recent (and dismal) employment report was for May.

Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey Click on graph for larger image in graph gallery.

Notice that hires (purple) and total separations (red and blue columns stacked) are pretty close each month. When the purple line is above the two stacked columns, the economy is adding net jobs - when it is below the columns, the economy is losing jobs.

In general job openings (yellow) has been trending up - however job openings declined slightly in April - and are actually down year-over-year compared to April 2010. However April 2010 included decennial Census hiring, so that isn't a good comparison.

Overall turnover remains low.

Note: I've had some questions about "quits", and quits have been trending up (although they were down slightly in April). For this graph I add quits to other discharges to compare to total hires, but I'll look at just tracking quits too.

Kelly Carlson Sara Foster Natassia Malthe Victoria Silvstedt Hilary Swank

Selling nuts to squirrels

Jessica Biel Christina Milian Kelly Brook Robin Tunney Kate Groombridge

Some Stats On Yesterday's Post

AVC on June 1, 2011: Total Unique Visitors: 45,055 (google analytics) Total Visits: 47,633 (google analytics) Total Page Views: 54,105 (google analytics) Total Comments on AVC: 415 (disqus) Total Comments on Hacker News: 175 Total Social Media Mentions: 1,453 (disqus)...

Jessica Paré Leelee Sobieski Teri Hatcher Lauren Bush Natalie Zea

The Hacking Education Contest

On Monday I wrote about contests as a way to raise money. They are also a way to raise the profile of you and/or your startup. This post is about a developer contest that is in the latter camp. This...

Jessica White Anna Friel Monica Bellucci Minki van der Westhuizen Katharine Towne

Report: 10.9 Million U.S. Properties with Negative Equity in Q1

From Robbie Whelan at the WSJ: Second-Mortgage Misery
[A] report to be released Tuesday by real-estate data firm CoreLogic Inc. ... says 38% of borrowers who took cash out of their residences using home-equity loans are underwater ... By contrast, 18% of borrowers who don't have these loans were underwater.
...
Overall ... 10.9 million Americans who borrowed to buy their homes, or 22.7% of all homeowners with a mortgage nationwide, were underwater in the first quarter ...
This is a slight decrease from the 11.1 million, or 23.1 percent of homeowners with a mortgage who were underwater at the end of Q4 2010. The WSJ article notes the decline was probably due to completed foreclosures.

I'll have more when the CoreLogic report is available online.

Rhona Mitra Kelly Rowland Danica Patrick Josie Maran Leighton Meester

MBA: Mortgage Purchase Application activity decreases

The MBA reports: Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey
The seasonally adjusted Purchase Index decreased 4.4 percent from one week earlier. ... The adjusted Refinance Index increased 1.3 percent from the previous week.
...
The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages decreased to 4.54 percent from 4.58 percent, with points decreasing to 0.95 from 1.00 (including the origination fee) for 80 percent loan-to-value (LTV) ratio loans. This is the lowest 30-year contract rate since November 19, 2010.
MBA Purchase Index Click on graph for larger image in graph gallery.

This graph shows the MBA Purchase Index and four week moving average since 1990.

The four week average of purchase activity is moving sideways at about 1997 levels. Of course there is a very high percentage of cash buyers right now, but this suggests weak existing home sales through mid-year (not counting cash buyers). Note that mortgage rates have fallen to the lowest level since last November.

Ananda Lewis Kate Bosworth Tamala Jones Yamila Diaz Alicia Keys

Why Working Outside Your Home Can Save Your Business

You started your own business. You started it because you had a passion for what you were doing and a belief that you would be more successful on your own than working for someone else. But that was a few years ago. Or maybe it was only a couple of months. Either way, your passion, your excitement and your energy is slowly waning, and the warm weather is only making it worse. How do you get it back?

Well, ifRead More

From Small Business Trends

Why Working Outside Your Home Can Save Your Business

Charli Baltimore Denise Richards Jennifer Sky Samantha Mathis Samantha Morton